Andrea Pellegrino vs Carlo Alberto CaniatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นAndrea Pellegrino
#145 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ฎ๐นCarlo Alberto Caniato
#318 ยท 20 yrs ยท R
Title3Andrea Pellegrino and Carlo Alberto Caniato have met 1 time since 2026; Andrea Pellegrino leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 2 sets to Caniato's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Pellegrino won at San Marino Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Alberto Caniato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Carlo Alberto Caniato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 86% | 32/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 27/53 | 23% | 14/62 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 84% | 37/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 15/24 | 73% | 32/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 1, Alberto Caniato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
๐น Frontrunner
Caniato
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
San Marino Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Caniato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Carlo Alberto Caniato | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Caniato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ6 | 10โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | -27.4% | +4.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.74u | +0.68u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Caniato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 10 |
| Distance | โ | 91 mi ยท 146 km |
| Route | โ | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Pellegrino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Caniato's 50%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Caniato |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Clarke | W 26 76 64 | W |
| Alex Barrena | W 62 26 61 | W 63 62 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 76 62 | L 64 36 46 |
| Milos Karol | L 46 26 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Mika Petkovic
Genoa Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Francesco Passaro
Palermo Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Max Wiskandt
Palermo Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Luka Mikrut
Genoa 2 Challenger ยท Final
Sep 27
Francesco Forti
Genoa 2 Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Jay Clarke
Genoa 2 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Tom Gentzsch
Genoa 2 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Lorenzo Berto
Genoa 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Alejandro Moro Canas
Biella Challenger ยท Final
Sep 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ62 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Caniato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 60% |
| Sets won | 53% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Caniato |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Caniato |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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