Andrea Guerrieri vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Guerrieri and Luca Nardi have met 1 time since 2026; Andrea Guerrieri leads 1–0. Across all meetings Guerrieri has taken 2 sets to Nardi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Guerrieri won at Umag (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guerrieri | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Guerrieri | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 42/58 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 21/80 | 48% | 19/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 28/47 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 17/26 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 13/25 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 47/47 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 42/47 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guerrieri 1, Nardi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Guerrieri
🪃 Counterpuncher
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luca Nardi.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 11, 2026
Umag
C Clay
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Guerrieri | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Guerrieri | Luca Nardi | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +20.1% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.02u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Guerrieri and Nardi posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Viktor Durasovic | W 64 46 62 | W 62 62 |
| Oriol Roca Batalla | W 64 64 | W 64 76 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 67 46 | L 57 63 46 |
| Giles Hussey | L 46 46 | W 63 62 |
| Stefano Travaglia | W 76 26 76 | L 26 61 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Daniil Glinka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Michele Ribecai
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Viktor Durasovic
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Olle Wallin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Federico Agustin Gomez
Umag
Jul 12
Luca Nardi
Umag
Jul 11
Hugo Dellien
Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Andrea Guerrieri
Umag
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–80 matches
| Metric | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 44% |
| Sets won | 67% | 50% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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