Andrea Guerrieri vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นAndrea Guerrieri
#165 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
31 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ฎ๐นLuca Nardi
#251 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
4Andrea Guerrieri and Luca Nardi have met 1 time since 2026; Andrea Guerrieri leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Guerrieri has taken 2 sets to Nardi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Guerrieri won at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guerrieri | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Guerrieri | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 39/61 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 27/86 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 26/50 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 22/31 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 14/30 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 98% | 48/49 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guerrieri 1, Nardi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Guerrieri
๐ช Counterpuncher
Nardi
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs ๐น Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 11, 2026
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ4 | 0โ1 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | +21.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.00u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 793 mi ยท 1,276 km | โ |
| Route | FRA โ POR | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Guerrieri and Nardi posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Viktor Durasovic | W 64 46 62 | W 62 62 |
| Oriol Roca Batalla | W 64 64 | W 64 76 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 67 46 | L 57 63 46 |
| Giles Hussey | L 46 46 | W 63 62 |
| Stefano Travaglia | W 76 26 76 | L 26 61 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
August Holmgren
Porto Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Jesper de Jong
St. Tropez Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Francesco Maestrelli
St. Tropez Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Alex de Minaur
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Aziz Dougaz
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Joel Schwaerzler
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
August Holmgren
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Villena Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Andrea Guerrieri
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 38โ87 matches
| Metric | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 45% |
| Sets won | 63% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Guerrieri | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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