Andre Ilagan vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andre Ilagan and Hugo Gaston have met 1 time since 2026; Hugo Gaston leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ilagan has taken 0 sets to Gaston's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ilagan | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andre Ilagan | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 29/43 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 15/34 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 29/77 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 25/39 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 19/43 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 35/43 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 29/43 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ilagan 0, Gaston 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ilagan
💥 Big Hitter
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ilagan | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andre Ilagan | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | +24.1% | -2.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.81u | -0.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 7,868 mi · 12,663 km | 103 mi · 165 km |
| Route | USA → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ilagan's 0%).
| Opponent | Ilagan | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Colton Smith | L 64 36 67 | W 16 64 62 |
| Alexis Galarneau | L 36 26 | W 64 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Marat Sharipov
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Matthew Dellavedova
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Bryce Nakashima
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Hugo Gaston
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Tristan Boyer
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–77 matches
| Metric | Ilagan | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 57% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ilagan | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ilagan | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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