Anastasia Zakharova vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Zakharova
#111 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Zakharova and Jelena Ostapenko have met 2 times since 2026; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Ostapenko has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Zakharova has taken 1 sets to Ostapenko's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Korea Open - Seoul (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zakharova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Zakharova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 27/39 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 7/35 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 19/74 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 21/40 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 13/32 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 12/20 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 27/37 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zakharova 0, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zakharova
🏹 Frontrunner
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 22, 2026
Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 9, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zakharova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Zakharova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zakharova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -31.8% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.41u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zakharova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | POR → ROU → CZE | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Zakharova's 50%).
| Opponent | Zakharova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 36 26 | W 63 60 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 26 16 | L 64 16 26 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | L 46 26 | W 60 61 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 46 16 | L |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 64 63 | W 63 61 |
| Antonia Ruzic | L 16 76 16 | W 62 60 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 76 26 76 | W 57 76 62 |
| Ella Seidel | W 62 62 | W 64 64 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 36 61 75 | W 61 62 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 46 75 76 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Belinda Bencic
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yushan Shao
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jelena Ostapenko
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kylie Collins
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Anna Blinkova
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Lucrezia Stefanini
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–74 matches
| Metric | Zakharova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 57% |
| Sets won | 51% | 57% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zakharova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zakharova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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