Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAnastasia Potapova
#25 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 3โ3

๐จ๐ฟKarolina Pliskova
#56 ยท 34 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Anastasia Potapova and Karolina Pliskova have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 3 sets to Pliskova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Potapova won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 4/15 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 9/22 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Pliskova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
๐ The Complete Package
Pliskova
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ค Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Anastasia Potapova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 29, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 13, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ5 | 6โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -47.9% | -13.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.83u | -1.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 761 mi ยท 1,225 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | AUT โ CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Pliskova's 33%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Sloane Stephens | L 26 46 | W 76 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 61 46 36 | L 06 26 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 26 36 | W 46 63 75 |
| Donna Vekic | W 64 62 | L 46 64 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 06 26 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 16 64 63 | L 64 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 31
Venus Williams
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Suzan Lamens
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท 1st Round
Jun 10
Anna Kalinskaya
French Open - Paris ยท 4th Round
Jun 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham ยท Semifinals
Jun 20
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Caty Mcnally
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 31โ41 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 61% |
| Sets won | 58% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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