Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAnastasia Potapova
#26 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 3โ3

๐จ๐ฟKarolina Pliskova
#49 ยท 34 yrs ยท Right-Handed
6wAnastasia Potapova and Karolina Pliskova have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 3 sets to Pliskova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Potapova won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/48 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 86% | 12/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Pliskova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
๐ The Complete Package
Pliskova
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ค Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Anastasia Potapova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 29, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 13, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ4 | 2โ3 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 2.73 |
| ROI % | +19.6% | -35.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | -1.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 1 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Pliskova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Potapova's 40%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Sinja Kraus | L | W 26 61 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 46 36 | L 06 26 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 75 | W |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 26 | L 16 67 |
| Sloane Stephens | L 26 46 | W 76 62 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 26 36 | W 46 63 75 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L | W 61 63 |
| Donna Vekic | W 64 62 | L 46 64 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 06 26 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 62 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Leolia Jeanjean
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darja Semenistaja
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Hanne Vandewinkel
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham ยท Semifinals
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 32โ48 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 63% |
| Sets won | 57% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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