Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#25 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Potapova and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2023; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rothesay Classic - Birmingham in 2023 on grass. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 3 sets to Ostapenko's 5. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Potapova won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 4/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 9/22 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Anastasia Potapova and Jelena Ostapenko are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 3,166 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 10, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 24, 2023
Rothesay Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -47.9% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.83u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Potapova and Ostapenko posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 62 | W 26 62 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 67 67 | L 46 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 75 | W 63 60 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 62 67 | W 61 62 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 57 46 | L 16 67 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L 64 36 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 61 46 36 | L 75 26 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 76 26 36 | W 57 62 75 |
| Marina Stakusic | W 46 61 75 | L 46 76 26 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 75 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Venus Williams
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Suzan Lamens
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 10
Anna Kalinskaya
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–41 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 56% |
| Sets won | 58% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.