Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#26 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Potapova and Jelena Ostapenko have met 3 times since 2023; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rothesay Classic - Birmingham in 2023 on grass. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 3 sets to Ostapenko's 5. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Potapova won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/48 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 10, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 24, 2023
Rothesay Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +19.6% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Potapova's 30%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 16 64 63 | W 64 61 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 46 36 | L 75 26 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 62 | W 26 62 63 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 61 | L |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 67 67 | L 46 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L | W 63 60 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L | W 64 62 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 62 67 | W 61 62 |
| Ella Seidel | L 46 36 | W 64 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 57 46 | L 16 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Leolia Jeanjean
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darja Semenistaja
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–48 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 57% |
| Sets won | 57% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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