Anastasia Potapova vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#25 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Potapova and Iga Swiatek have met 2 times since 2024; Iga Swiatek leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2024 on clay. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 0 sets to Swiatek's 4. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 80% | 35/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 4/15 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 9/22 | 58% | 34/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 78% | 35/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Swiatek 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Anastasia Potapova and Iga Swiatek are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 3,166 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 9, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 2, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | -47.9% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.83u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 9 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Potapova's 40%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L 57 64 46 |
| Emiliana Arango | L 67 26 | W 63 60 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 16 | W 63 16 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 26 | W 62 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 61 16 | W 36 61 62 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 61 67 63 | W 61 63 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 67 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 62 67 | W 61 16 61 |
| Coco Gauff | W 46 76 64 | L 46 26 |
| Maya Joint | W 61 62 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Venus Williams
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Suzan Lamens
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 10
Anna Kalinskaya
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–61 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 72% |
| Sets won | 58% | 70% |
| Games won | 53% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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