Anastasia Potapova vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#26 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Potapova and Iga Swiatek have met 2 times since 2024; Iga Swiatek leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2024 on clay. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 0 sets to Swiatek's 4. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/48 | 33% | 19/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 57% | 32/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 86% | 37/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Swiatek 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Anastasia Potapova and Iga Swiatek are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,208 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 9, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 2, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 15–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | +19.6% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | +0.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Potapova's 40%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Donna Vekic | W 64 62 | W 46 76 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 46 36 | L 63 46 36 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 75 | L 76 46 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L 57 64 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | W |
| Emiliana Arango | L 67 26 | W 63 60 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 16 | W 63 16 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 26 | W 62 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 61 16 | W 36 61 62 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 61 67 63 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Leolia Jeanjean
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darja Semenistaja
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–58 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 72% |
| Sets won | 57% | 70% |
| Games won | 52% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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