Anastasia Potapova vs Caroline GarciaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAnastasia Potapova
#26 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 5โ3
๐ซ๐ทCaroline Garcia
Unranked ยท 32 yrs ยท Right-Handed
59wAnastasia Potapova and Caroline Garcia have met 3 times since 2019; Anastasia Potapova leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Tianjin in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Potapova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 5 sets to Garcia's 3. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Potapova won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Garcia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Caroline Garcia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/48 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 1, Garcia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
๐ The Complete Package
Garcia
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ค Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Anastasia Potapova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 21, 2023
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 20, 2021
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Oct 9, 2019
Tianjin
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ4 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | - |
| ROI % | +19.6% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 1 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Leolia Jeanjean
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darja Semenistaja
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Karolina Muchova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 10
Sonay Kartal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 8
Bernarda Pera
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 26
Iga Swiatek
Miami Open - Miami ยท 2nd Round
Mar 21
Anna Bondar
Miami Open - Miami ยท 1st Round
Mar 19
Iga Swiatek
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท 2nd Round
Mar 7
Bernarda Pera
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท 1st Round
Mar 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 48โ48 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | - |
| Sets won | 57% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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