Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
#641 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
23w7 meetings · sets 3–12
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Jelena Ostapenko have met 7 times since 2016; Jelena Ostapenko leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Birmingham in 2016 on grass. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–1. On clay courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. On grass courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Ostapenko has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Pavlyuchenkova has taken 3 sets to Ostapenko's 12. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 1/2 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 1/6 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 2/8 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pavlyuchenkova 1, Ostapenko 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlyuchenkova
🤖 Servebot
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Feb 3, 2024
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 22, 2021
Eastbourne International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Aug 7, 2019
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 32
May 8, 2019
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Jan 31, 2019
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 21, 2018
Fed Cup WG2 R1: RUS vs LAT
C Clay · Round Robin
Jun 15, 2016
Birmingham
G Grass · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.89 |
| ROI % | - | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | — | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Pavlyuchenkova's 0%).
| Opponent | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 26 16 | L 26 63 36 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 16 | L 16 67 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 36 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Veronika Erjavec
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Alexandra Eala
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 21
Viktoriya Tomova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Tena Lukas
Dubrovnik Open - Dubrovnik · 1st Round
Mar 24
Barbora Krejcikova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 15
Elise Mertens
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Mccartney Kessler
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 1st Round
Feb 1
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–42 matches
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 57% |
| Sets won | 28% | 57% |
| Games won | 42% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| BJK Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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