Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova
#444 ยท 34 yrs ยท Right-Handed
19w7 meetings ยท sets 3โ12

๐ฑ๐ปJelena Ostapenko
#31 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Jelena Ostapenko have met 7 times since 2016; Jelena Ostapenko leads 6โ1. Their first meeting came at Birmingham in 2016 on grass. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2โ1. On clay courts Ostapenko leads 2โ0. On grass courts Ostapenko leads 2โ0. Ostapenko has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Pavlyuchenkova has taken 3 sets to Ostapenko's 12. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | โ | 68% | 15/22 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 1/6 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 1/6 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/5 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | โ | 70% | 16/23 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | โ | 65% | 15/23 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pavlyuchenkova 1, Ostapenko 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlyuchenkova
๐ค Servebot
Ostapenko
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ค Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Feb 3, 2024
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Jun 22, 2021
Eastbourne International - Eastbourne
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Aug 7, 2019
Toronto
H Hard ยท Round of 32
May 8, 2019
Madrid
C Clay ยท Round of 64
Jan 31, 2019
St. Petersburg
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Apr 21, 2018
Fed Cup WG2 R1: RUS vs LAT
C Clay ยท Round Robin
Jun 15, 2016
Birmingham
G Grass ยท Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5โ2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.74 |
| ROI % | - | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 1 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Pavlyuchenkova's 0%).
| Opponent | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 16 | L 16 67 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 36 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 1st Round
Apr 22
Barbora Krejcikova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 1st Round
Feb 15
Elise Mertens
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 1st Round
Feb 8
Mccartney Kessler
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi ยท 1st Round
Feb 1
Zhuoxuan Bai
Australian Open - Melbourne ยท 1st Round
Jan 18
Sorana Cirstea
Brisbane International - Brisbane ยท 1st Round
Jan 4
Victoria Azarenka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Dayana Yastremska
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 6โ39 matches
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 56% |
| Sets won | 8% | 56% |
| Games won | 36% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| BJK Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pavlyuchenkova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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