Alexis Galarneau vs Kaichi UchidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexis Galarneau and Kaichi Uchida have met 4 times since 2021; Alexis Galarneau leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Lexington in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Galarneau leads 3–1. Galarneau has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Galarneau has taken 6 sets to Uchida's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexis Galarneau won at Granby Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Galarneau | Uchida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexis Galarneau | Kaichi Uchida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 24/40 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 13/31 | 31% | 11/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 29/71 | 33% | 19/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 17/39 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 21/31 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 32/36 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 24/36 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Galarneau 2, Uchida 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galarneau
🎯 Baseliner
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
Granby Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 14, 2026
Busan Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 24, 2021
Puerto Vallarta Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 26, 2021
Lexington
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galarneau | Uchida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexis Galarneau | Kaichi Uchida | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 3.43 |
| ROI % | -38.2% | -60.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.35u | -5.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Galarneau has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Uchida's 10%).
| Opponent | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Ymer | W 75 76 | L 46 64 36 |
| Federico Cina | L 75 26 57 | L 16 26 |
| Fajing Sun | L 57 63 57 | L 46 26 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 64 62 | L 63 26 36 |
| Linang Xiao | W 63 64 | L 36 57 |
| Daniel Milavsky | W 63 62 | L 46 36 |
| Jack Kennedy | W 64 63 | L 46 46 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 26 62 64 | W 67 63 64 |
| Liam Broady | W 63 64 | L 67 16 |
| August Holmgren | L 46 36 | L 67 75 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Elias Ymer
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Semen Pankin
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Ilya Ivashka
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Jesse Delaney
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ryan Seggerman
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Masamichi Imamura
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Rio Noguchi
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hanyi Liu
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–71 matches
| Metric | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 39% |
| Sets won | 54% | 41% |
| Games won | 50% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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