Alexis Galarneau vs Kaichi UchidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexis Galarneau and Kaichi Uchida have met 4 times since 2021; Alexis Galarneau leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Lexington in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Galarneau leads 3–1. Galarneau has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Galarneau has taken 6 sets to Uchida's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexis Galarneau won at Granby Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Galarneau | Uchida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexis Galarneau | Kaichi Uchida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 21/37 | 70% | 26/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 12/28 | 31% | 10/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 28/65 | 30% | 21/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 13/36 | 61% | 23/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 22/28 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 14/25 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Galarneau 2, Uchida 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galarneau
⚙️ Grinder
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kaichi Uchida.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
Granby Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 14, 2026
Busan Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 24, 2021
Puerto Vallarta Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 26, 2021
Lexington
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galarneau | Uchida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexis Galarneau | Kaichi Uchida | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 0–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 3.16 |
| ROI % | +21.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.61u | -6.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | — |
| Route | CAN | CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Galarneau has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Uchida's 29%).
| Opponent | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Milavsky | W 63 62 | L 46 36 |
| Jack Kennedy | W 64 63 | L 46 46 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 26 62 64 | W 67 63 64 |
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | W 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Liam Broady | W 63 64 | L 67 16 |
| August Holmgren | L 46 36 | L 67 75 26 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 64 62 | W 57 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dino Prizmic
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Vit Kopriva
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Tyler Zink
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Kaichi Uchida
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jacob Fearnley
Newport Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Daniel Milavsky
Newport Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alexis Galarneau
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Milavsky
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Quinn Vandecasteele
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Max Houkes
Tunis Challenger · 1st Round
May 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–69 matches
| Metric | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 54% |
| Sets won | 54% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galarneau | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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