Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob FearnleyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexis Galarneau and Jacob Fearnley have met 2 times since 2026; Jacob Fearnley leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Newport Challenger in 2026 on grass. Fearnley has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Galarneau has taken 1 sets to Fearnley's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Galarneau | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexis Galarneau | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 24/40 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 13/31 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 29/71 | 44% | 24/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 17/39 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 21/31 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 32/36 | 96% | 23/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 24/36 | 79% | 19/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Galarneau 0, Fearnley 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galarneau
🎯 Baseliner
Fearnley
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexis Galarneau.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 21, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 11, 2026
Newport Challenger
G Grass · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galarneau | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexis Galarneau | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -38.2% | +0.1% |
| Units P/L | -5.35u | +0.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Galarneau's 50%).
| Opponent | Galarneau | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Ymer | W 75 76 | L 26 26 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 67 26 | W 64 75 |
| Luka Pavlovic | L 67 64 67 | W 64 67 64 |
| Keegan Smith | W 76 63 | W 46 75 64 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 36 76 | W 76 64 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 67 67 | L 46 76 36 |
| Adam Walton | L 16 76 67 | W 57 76 64 |
| Stefan Kozlov | L 67 62 16 | W 36 63 62 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 46 63 64 | W 67 61 62 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 76 64 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Elias Ymer
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Semen Pankin
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Martin Landaluce
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Luka Pavlovic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Roberto Carballes Baena
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–71 matches
| Metric | Galarneau | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 57% |
| Sets won | 54% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galarneau | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galarneau | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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