Alexandre Muller vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Alexandre Muller
#133 · 29 yrs · R
3 meetings · sets 1–7
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wAlexandre Muller and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2019; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 2–0. Baena has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Baena leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Muller has taken 1 sets to Baena's 7. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 4/27 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 0, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexandre Muller.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 26, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 9, 2023
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · Final
May 28, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.96u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Muller and Baena posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Muller | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | L 36 36 | L 46 36 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 46 | L 60 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–50 matches
| Metric | Muller | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 52% |
| Sets won | 41% | 52% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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