Alexandre Muller vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Hugo Gaston have met 5 times since 2021; Alexandre Muller leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Biella 5 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Gaston leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Gaston leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Muller has taken 9 sets to Gaston's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alexandre Muller won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 4/27 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 1, Gaston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexandre Muller.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 16, 2024
Lyon Challenger
C Clay · Final
Jan 11, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 9, 2021
Barcelona Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
May 3, 2021
Biella 5 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -2.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.96u | -0.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | 103 mi · 165 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Gaston's 50%).
| Opponent | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | W 76 61 | W 75 64 |
| Moise Kouame | W 64 60 | W 36 63 64 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 26 63 36 76 76 | W |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 63 36 46 | L 16 63 16 |
| Jan Choinski | W 76 63 | L 64 06 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 26 03 | L 16 46 26 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 61 67 64 | L 16 75 67 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 76 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–60 matches
| Metric | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 57% |
| Sets won | 41% | 54% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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