Alexandre Muller vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Hugo Gaston have met 5 times since 2021; Alexandre Muller leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Biella 5 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Gaston leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Gaston leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Muller has taken 9 sets to Gaston's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alexandre Muller won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/39 | 37% | 21/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 73% | 22/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 1, Gaston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
⚙️ Grinder
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 16, 2024
Lyon Challenger
C Clay · Final
Jan 11, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 9, 2021
Barcelona Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
May 3, 2021
Biella 5 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.80 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -58.8% | +7.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | +1.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,829 mi · 9,381 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SMR → GER → MEX | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Gaston's 25%).
| Opponent | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 63 36 46 | L 16 63 16 |
| Jan Choinski | W 76 63 | L 64 06 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 26 03 | L 16 46 26 |
| Federico Cina | W 62 63 | W 75 64 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 46 76 64 | L 63 36 67 |
| Otto Virtanen | L 46 46 | L 16 63 36 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 61 67 64 | L 16 75 67 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 76 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Guy Den Ouden
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Stefano Napolitano
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Aleksandr Shevchenko
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–61 matches
| Metric | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 61% |
| Sets won | 37% | 56% |
| Games won | 45% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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