Alexandre Muller vs Elias YmerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Elias Ymer have met 4 times since 2021; Elias Ymer leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Split 1 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Ymer leads 2–1. Across all meetings Muller has taken 2 sets to Ymer's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexandre Muller won at Hamburg Open - Hamburg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Elias Ymer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/39 | 39% | 17/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 1, Ymer 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
⚙️ Grinder
Ymer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elias Ymer.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 19, 2025
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 7, 2021
Cassis Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 12, 2021
Split 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 5, 2021
Split 1 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Elias Ymer | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.80 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | -58.8% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | -1.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 5,829 mi · 9,381 km | 1,463 mi · 2,354 km |
| Route | SMR → GER → MEX | USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Ymer's 0%).
| Opponent | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Guy Den Ouden | L 57 26 | L 57 36 |
| Federico Cina | W 62 63 | L 36 57 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 63 36 46 | L 63 57 46 16 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 75 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Guy Den Ouden
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Stefano Napolitano
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Aleksandr Shevchenko
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniil Glinka
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Paul Jubb
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Federico Cina
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Timofey Skatov
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Henry Searle
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ugo Humbert
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–45 matches
| Metric | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 47% |
| Sets won | 37% | 47% |
| Games won | 45% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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