Alexandre Muller vs Elias YmerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Elias Ymer have met 4 times since 2021; Elias Ymer leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Split 1 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Ymer leads 2–1. Across all meetings Muller has taken 2 sets to Ymer's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexandre Muller won at Hamburg Open - Hamburg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Elias Ymer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 4/27 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 43% | 23/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 86% | 24/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 1, Ymer 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 19, 2025
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 7, 2021
Cassis Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 12, 2021
Split 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 5, 2021
Split 1 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Elias Ymer | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -55.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.96u | -7.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Ymer's 14%).
| Opponent | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 26 | L 64 57 67 |
| Federico Cina | W 76 61 | L 63 36 46 |
| Moise Kouame | W 64 60 | L 46 64 57 |
| Laslo Djere | W 75 60 | L 46 67 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 26 26 | W 63 36 76 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 63 36 46 | L 63 57 46 16 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 75 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–55 matches
| Metric | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 51% |
| Sets won | 41% | 50% |
| Games won | 47% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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