Alex Molcan vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Molcan and Tomas Machac have met 4 times since 2019; Alex Molcan leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Liberec in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Molcan leads 2–1. Molcan has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Molcan leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Molcan has taken 6 sets to Machac's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alex Molcan won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 22/34 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 18/53 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Molcan 2, Machac 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 16, 2023
Bratislava 1 Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 8, 2021
Liberec Challenger
C Clay · Final
Aug 2, 2019
Liberec
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.19u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Molcan | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Molcan's 29%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 26 | L 46 67 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 36 | W 76 67 64 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 62 36 46 | W 64 76 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 63 36 75 | W 64 16 63 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 36 26 46 | L 46 76 26 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 46 26 | W 26 64 61 |
| Emilio Nava | W 61 76 | W 26 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Marco Trungelliti
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Vit Kopriva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–57 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 48% |
| Sets won | 57% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Molcan | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Molcan | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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