Alex Molcan vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Molcan and Karen Khachanov have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Open Parc - Lyon in 2022 on clay. Across all meetings Molcan has taken 2 sets to Khachanov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 23/35 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 14/27 | 21% | 6/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Molcan 1, Khachanov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Karen Khachanov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 18, 2022
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | +12.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.02u | +1.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Molcan | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Khachanov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Molcan's 44%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | W 76 57 61 76 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 16 16 | W |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 46 63 36 26 | W 63 62 64 |
| Dino Prizmic | W | W 61 76 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 36 | W 63 64 64 |
| Billy Harris | W 61 76 | W 63 57 63 63 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 26 46 | L 36 75 46 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 75 | L 67 46 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 57 67 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Marco Trungelliti
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Vit Kopriva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–58 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 53% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Molcan | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Molcan | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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