Alex Hernandez vs Karl PolingPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Hernandez and Karl Poling have met 1 time since 2026; Alex Hernandez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Hernandez has taken 2 sets to Poling's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex Hernandez won at Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hernandez | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Hernandez | Karl Poling | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 11/14 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 11/31 | 40% | 26/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 6/9 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 61% | 22/36 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 12/14 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 11/14 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hernandez 1, Poling 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hernandez
🛡️ The Spoiler
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Hernandez and Karl Poling are 🛡️ The Spoiler types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 46 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 7, 2026
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hernandez | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 14–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.68 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +71.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +13.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hernandez | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Hernandez and Poling posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Hernandez | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Mejia | L 36 76 36 | W 64 64 |
| Mateus Alves | L 46 16 | W 63 41 |
| Garrett Johns | W 76 62 | L 26 67 |
| Connor Thomson | W 62 62 | W 63 61 |
| Daniel Masur | W 62 64 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Guido Ivan Justo
CIT Open · Round of 32
Jun 16
Ilya Ivashka
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Quarterfinals
May 21
Naoya Honda
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Round of 16
May 20
Yuta Kawahashi
KARNATAKA OPEN · Round of 32
May 11
Grigoriy Lomakin
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Round of 32
May 9
Tibo Colson
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 16
Apr 9
Karl Poling
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 7
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thomas Fancutt
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jesse Flores
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kenta Miyoshi
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Matt Kuhar
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–65 matches
| Metric | Hernandez | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 52% |
| Sets won | 49% | 51% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hernandez | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hernandez | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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