Alex Hernandez vs Nicolas MejiaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Hernandez and Nicolas Mejia have met 4 times since 2021; Nicolas Mejia leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Los Cabos in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Mejia leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Mejia has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Hernandez has taken 4 sets to Mejia's 7. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Mejia won at Banorte Tennis Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hernandez | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Hernandez | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 11/14 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 14% | 4/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 11/31 | 30% | 20/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 6/9 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 12/14 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 11/14 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hernandez 0, Mejia 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hernandez
🛡️ The Spoiler
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolas Mejia.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2026
Banorte Tennis Open
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 15, 2025
San Luis Potosi
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 24, 2025
Morelia
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 1, 2021
Los Cabos
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hernandez | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.68 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +36.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +6.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hernandez | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mejia has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Hernandez's 33%).
| Opponent | Hernandez | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Hernan Casanova | L 26 64 26 | W 63 62 |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | W 75 46 64 | W 64 46 63 |
| Karl Poling | W 75 64 | L 46 46 |
| Tibo Colson | L 67 62 57 | L 57 36 |
| Coleman Wong | L 36 26 | W 75 76 |
| Sebastian Gima | L 64 67 46 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Guido Ivan Justo
CIT Open · Round of 32
Jun 16
Ilya Ivashka
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Quarterfinals
May 21
Naoya Honda
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Round of 16
May 20
Yuta Kawahashi
KARNATAKA OPEN · Round of 32
May 11
Grigoriy Lomakin
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Round of 32
May 9
Tibo Colson
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 16
Apr 9
Karl Poling
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 7
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Landaluce
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–70 matches
| Metric | Hernandez | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 59% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hernandez | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hernandez | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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