Karl Poling vs Patrick ZahrajPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karl Poling and Patrick Zahraj have met 4 times since 2024; Patrick Zahraj leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Drummondville in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Zahraj leads 4–0. Zahraj has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Poling has taken 1 sets to Zahraj's 8. Their most recent meeting: Patrick Zahraj won at Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poling | Zahraj | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karl Poling | Patrick Zahraj | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 21/36 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 16/38 | 26% | 9/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 31/74 | 26% | 16/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 11/25 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 28/44 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 14/36 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 28/37 | 88% | 23/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 21/37 | 77% | 20/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Poling 0, Zahraj 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poling
🎾 All-Court
Zahraj
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 810 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 27, 2026
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 22, 2026
Morelia Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2, 2026
Morelia Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 11, 2024
Drummondville
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poling | Zahraj | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karl Poling | Patrick Zahraj | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 63% | 12/19 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 26% | 5/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Zahraj |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–10 | 11–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -12.0% | +7.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.52u | +1.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poling | Zahraj |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 984 mi · 1,583 km | 984 mi · 1,583 km |
| Route | FRA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zahraj has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Poling's 33%).
| Opponent | Poling | Zahraj |
|---|---|---|
| Joshua Sheehy | L 67 67 | W 75 63 |
| Patrick Brady | L 16 16 | L 36 26 |
| Raphael Perot | L 57 63 46 | W 75 64 |
| Henry Searle | W 76 36 63 | L 46 76 36 |
| James Trotter | W 62 63 | W |
| Miguel Tobon | L 76 26 67 | L 57 75 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Patrick Zahraj
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Titouan Droguet
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Nikola Slavic
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Karl Poling
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Murphy Cassone
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Mathys Erhard
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Maxime Janvier
Rennes Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Joshua Sheehy
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Samir Banerjee
M25 Plaisir · Semifinals
Sep 12
Mickael Kaouk
M25 Plaisir · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Sven Corbinais
M25 Plaisir · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–74 matches
| Metric | Poling | Zahraj |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 44% |
| Sets won | 49% | 46% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poling | Zahraj |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poling | Zahraj |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
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