Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Aleksandar Kovacevic
#81 · 28 yrs · R
33 meetings · sets 4–4
🇺🇸Mackenzie McDonald
#169 · 31 yrs · R
3Aleksandar Kovacevic and Mackenzie McDonald have met 3 times since 2022; Aleksandar Kovacevic leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Korea Open - Seoul in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Kovacevic leads 2–0. Across all meetings Kovacevic has taken 4 sets to McDonald's 4. Their most recent meeting: Aleksandar Kovacevic won at Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovacevic | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 17/34 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 29/59 | 33% | 16/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 8/16 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 27/41 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 23/44 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 13/26 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovacevic 0, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovacevic
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aleksandar Kovacevic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 19, 2025
Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14, 2025
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 30, 2022
Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kovacevic | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -8.5% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.11u | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kovacevic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs McDonald's 20%).
| Opponent | Kovacevic | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Lloyd Harris | L 36 46 | L 46 26 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 62 26 36 | L 46 57 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 46 16 | L 26 36 |
| Adam Walton | W 76 76 | L 16 36 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 64 76 | L 63 16 46 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 46 26 | L 36 67 |
| Daniel Merida | W 63 57 62 | L 57 46 |
| Moez Echargui | L 64 46 67 | W 62 75 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 46 61 67 | L 46 67 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 57 46 | W 60 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Zachary Svajda
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Luca Van Assche
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–63 matches
| Metric | Kovacevic | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 41% |
| Sets won | 43% | 43% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovacevic | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovacevic | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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