Alejandro Tabilo vs Roman Andres BurruchagaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฑAlejandro Tabilo
#30 ยท 29 yrs ยท L
3 meetings ยท sets 6โ0

๐ฆ๐ทRoman Andres Burruchaga
#62 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
6wAlejandro Tabilo and Roman Andres Burruchaga have met 3 times since 2023; Alejandro Tabilo leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Tabilo leads 2โ0. Tabilo has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tabilo leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 6 sets to Burruchaga's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Tabilo won at Brasilia Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Andres Burruchaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Roman Andres Burruchaga | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 18/37 | 65% | 26/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 32/65 | 43% | 29/67 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 15/41 | 22% | 5/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 80% | 36/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 58% | 26/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 3, Andres Burruchaga 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
๐ค Servebot
Burruchaga
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Tabilo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 26, 2023
Brasilia Challenger
H Hard ยท Final
Nov 10, 2023
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Nov 4, 2023
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Burruchaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Roman Andres Burruchaga | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ10 | 3โ4 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.34 |
| ROI % | -3.4% | -12.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | -0.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | โ |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Tabilo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Burruchaga's 40%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | W 61 62 | L 16 63 57 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 26 76 76 62 | L 64 57 36 |
| Moise Kouame | W 46 63 64 76 | L 26 26 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 63 64 | L 67 62 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | L 64 67 36 |
| Lautaro Midon | W 64 67 64 | W 61 61 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 64 62 | W 62 26 63 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 63 61 | W 61 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 57 16 | L 64 06 57 16 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 16 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP ยท Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Alexei Popyrin
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Nuno Borges
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stan Wawrinka
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Semifinals
Jul 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 71โ73 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 58% |
| Sets won | 52% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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