Alejandro Tabilo vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Pavel Kotov have met 3 times since 2019; Alejandro Tabilo leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Shymkent 2 in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Tabilo leads 2–0. Tabilo has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 6 sets to Kotov's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Tabilo won at Guangzhou Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 18/36 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/64 | 43% | 19/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 15/40 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 2, Kotov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Kotov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Tabilo and Pavel Kotov are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 9, 2025
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 8, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 4, 2019
Shymkent 2
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Pavel Kotov | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–10 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | +24.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +3.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 11 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tabilo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kotov's 67%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 76 46 64 | W 64 76 |
| Yi Zhou | W 46 64 63 | W |
| Luca Van Assche | W 76 36 63 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fils
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Tallon Griekspoor
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Aleksandar Vukic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Martin Damm
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luca Castelnuovo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–72 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 73% |
| Sets won | 52% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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