Alejandro Tabilo vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Pavel Kotov have met 3 times since 2019; Alejandro Tabilo leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Shymkent 2 in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Tabilo leads 2–0. Tabilo has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 6 sets to Kotov's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Tabilo won at Guangzhou Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 26/49 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 34/76 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 22/46 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 26/45 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 2, Kotov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
💥 Big Hitter
Kotov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Tabilo and Pavel Kotov are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 9, 2025
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 8, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 4, 2019
Shymkent 2
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Pavel Kotov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -22.2% | -72.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -2.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tabilo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kotov's 50%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Yi Zhou | W 46 64 63 | W 61 20 |
| Jie Cui | W 63 75 | L 26 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 2
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Tallon Griekspoor
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Elahi Galan
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Franco Ribero
Royan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Marco Trungelliti
Lyon Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Guy Den Ouden
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 1
Cezar Cretu
Chisinau Challenger · 2nd Round
May 28
Gauthier Onclin
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Mikhail Kukushkin
Gwangju Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 21
Yi Zhou
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Round of 32
Apr 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–81 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 68% |
| Sets won | 57% | 62% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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