Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Joao Fonseca have met 3 times since 2024; Alejandro Tabilo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Bucharest Open - Bucharest in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Tabilo leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 4 sets to Fonseca's 4. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at BMW Open - Munich (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 18/36 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/64 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 15/40 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Fonseca 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 14, 2026
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 11, 2026
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 19, 2024
Bucharest Open - Bucharest
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–10 | 4–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | +18.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +0.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | — |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Tabilo and Fonseca posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | L 57 63 46 | W 57 64 63 |
| Tommy Paul | W 61 62 | W 62 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 26 | L 57 76 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 62 67 63 | L 26 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 16 | L 67 64 16 |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 75 64 | L 36 67 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 46 62 64 | W 76 64 63 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 26 36 | W 64 36 62 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 67 16 | W 46 46 63 75 75 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 60 | L 75 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Dominic Stricker
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–72 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 63% |
| Sets won | 52% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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