Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Joao Fonseca have met 3 times since 2024; Alejandro Tabilo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Bucharest Open - Bucharest in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Tabilo leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 4 sets to Fonseca's 4. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at BMW Open - Munich (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 26/49 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 34/76 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 22/46 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 26/45 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Fonseca 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
💥 Big Hitter
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Tabilo and Joao Fonseca are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 14, 2026
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 11, 2026
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 19, 2024
Bucharest Open - Bucharest
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -22.2% | -21.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -1.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Tabilo and Fonseca posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 16 | L 67 64 16 |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 75 64 | L 36 67 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 46 62 64 | W 76 64 63 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 26 36 | W 64 36 62 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 67 16 | W 46 46 63 75 75 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 60 | L 75 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 2
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Tallon Griekspoor
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–81 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 63% |
| Sets won | 57% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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