Alejandro Moro Canas vs Tristan BoyerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Maia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 · 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.96 or longer, Tristan Boyer has won 34 of 61 (56%). The price implied 41%, so Tristan Boyer has beaten it by 15 points.
At 1.73 or shorter, Alejandro Moro Canas has won 66 of 104 (63%). The price implied 60%, so Alejandro Moro Canas has beaten it by 3 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Tristan Boyer and Alejandro Moro Canas meet in the first round of the Maia Challenger on clay on October 13. Boyer, ranked 209th, arrives with one match in his last two weeks and a two-match losing streak. Moro Canas sits at 233rd after heavy activity, with nine matches over the past fortnight and one loss in his last outing.
The two have not faced each other. Against common opponents, Moro Canas has the stronger recent record; he defeated Jay Clarke and Marco Cecchinato while Boyer fell to both players. Both lost to Lukas Neumayer and Zsombor Piros, though both handled Pablo Llamas Ruiz.
On clay, Moro Canas has won 70% of his matches (14-6), while Boyer holds a 55% record (11-9). Both players thrive when building momentum early in rallies. Boyer will need to establish rhythm after limited match time, while Moro Canas must sustain his form and avoid the sluggish start that cost him his most recent outing.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moro Canas | Boyer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Moro Canas | Tristan Boyer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 27/47 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 12/31 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 32/78 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 21/52 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 22/39 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 34/41 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 27/41 | 60% | 15/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Canas
🏹 Frontrunner
Boyer
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Moro Canas and Tristan Boyer are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 280 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Canas and Boyer have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Canas | Boyer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Moro Canas | Tristan Boyer | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 23/25 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 17/25 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 10/25 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Canas | Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–9 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -4.3% | -29.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.13u | -4.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Canas | Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 465 mi · 748 km |
| Route | ITA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Canas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Boyer's 43%).
| Opponent | Canas | Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Zsombor Piros | L 64 36 46 | L 26 75 46 |
| Jay Clarke | W 63 46 62 | L 67 36 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 63 64 | L 67 63 36 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 64 76 | W 75 67 76 63 |
| Lukas Neumayer | L 16 36 | L 26 36 |
| Dali Blanch | L 67 26 | W 61 60 |
| Zdenek Kolar | W 64 26 60 | W 64 26 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jonas Forejtek
Palermo Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Massimo Giunta
Palermo Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Andrej Martin
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Kalin Ivanovski
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Zaragoza · Final
Oct 4
Sander Jong
M25 Zaragoza · Semifinals
Oct 3
Pedro Vives Marcos
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bruno Pujol Navarro
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Zsombor Piros
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Timo Legout
San Diego 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Sebastian Gorzny
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Spencer Johnson
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Abedallah Shelbayh
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Edward Winter
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
James Watt
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–80 matches
| Metric | Canas | Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 52% |
| Sets won | 55% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |