Alejandro Moro Canas vs Ryan NijboerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Moro Canas and Ryan Nijboer have met 3 times since 2024; Alejandro Moro Canas leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rome Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Canas leads 2–1. Across all meetings Canas has taken 4 sets to Nijboer's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Moro Canas won at M25 Santander 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moro Canas | Nijboer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Moro Canas | Ryan Nijboer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 27/47 | 66% | 37/56 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 12/31 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 32/78 | 38% | 32/84 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 21/52 | 55% | 30/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 22/39 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 34/41 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 27/41 | 71% | 37/52 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moro Canas 1, Nijboer 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Canas
🏹 Frontrunner
Nijboer
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 22, 2025
M25 Santander 1
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 14, 2025
M25 Gijon 1
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 25, 2024
Rome Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Canas | Nijboer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Moro Canas | Ryan Nijboer | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 23/25 | 93% | 25/27 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 17/25 | 70% | 19/27 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 10/25 | 33% | 9/27 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 4% | 1/27 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/27 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Canas | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–9 | 20–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -4.3% | -0.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.13u | -0.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Canas | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ITA | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Canas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Nijboer's 40%).
| Opponent | Canas | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Jonas Forejtek | L 76 46 67 | L 64 67 57 |
| Benjamin Hassan | W 61 64 | W 63 63 |
| Alexander Ritschard | L 36 26 | L 57 16 |
| Sander Jong | W 46 64 64 | W 63 61 |
| David Naharro | W 62 63 | W 62 64 |
| Jannik Opitz | W 46 76 62 | L 36 62 36 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | L 76 16 16 | L 36 16 |
| Calvin Hemery | W 67 63 76 | L 46 46 |
| Daniel Rincon | W 63 76 | L 26 26 |
| Tiago Torres | L 57 63 67 | W 63 16 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jonas Forejtek
Palermo Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Massimo Giunta
Palermo Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Andrej Martin
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Kalin Ivanovski
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Zaragoza · Final
Oct 4
Sander Jong
M25 Zaragoza · Semifinals
Oct 3
Pedro Vives Marcos
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bruno Pujol Navarro
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Javier Barranco Cosano
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marvin Moeller
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Mackenzie McDonald
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Benjamin Hassan
Braga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Nico Hipfl
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Zaragoza · Semifinals
Oct 3
Nicolas Ifi
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Pierre Delage
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 80–84 matches
| Metric | Canas | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 67% |
| Sets won | 55% | 63% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Canas | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Canas | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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