Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander RitschardPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Zaragoza
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- Final
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 4 · 5:30 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.83 or shorter, Alejandro Moro Canas has won 61 of 107 (57%). That is level with the 58% the price implied.
At 1.85 or shorter, Alexander Ritschard has won 73 of 112 (65%). The price implied 58%, so Alexander Ritschard has beaten it by 7 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Alejandro Moro Canas and Alexander Ritschard meet in the M25 Zaragoza final on clay October 4. Moro Canas, ranked 230, arrives on a four-match winning streak after playing five matches in 14 days. Ritschard, ranked 559, has also won four straight and reached the final having played four matches over the same span.
Ritschard won their only prior meeting. Both players have posted identical 80% win rates over their last five matches, though Ritschard's recent clay record runs deeper: he has won 16 of 20 clay matches in this sample, compared to Moro Canas at 14 of 20. Against common opponents, the patterns diverge; Ritschard beat Carlos Sanchez Jover and Henri Squire while Moro Canas lost to both.
Moro Canas operates as a counterpuncher, breaking down opponents from the baseline and capitalizing on errors. Ritschard attacks more aggressively, building points and pressing his positioning. On clay, Ritschard's 80% record reflects comfort with the surface and sustained offensive play; Moro Canas must construct rallies and use his defensive toolkit to disrupt rhythm. The final will test whether Ritschard can sustain his aggressive tempo or whether Moro Canas can slow the match and force mistakes.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moro Canas | Ritschard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Moro Canas | Alexander Ritschard | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 25/44 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 13/31 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 32/75 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 19/49 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 16/25 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 20/35 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 31/39 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 25/39 | 69% | 11/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Canas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ritschard
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,586 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Canas and Ritschard have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Canas | Ritschard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Moro Canas | Alexander Ritschard | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 14/20 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 7/20 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Canas | Ritschard |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–7 | 14–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | -0.3% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.06u | +1.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Canas | Ritschard |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,214 mi · 1,953 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR → ESP → ITA | ESP |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ritschard has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Canas's 0%).
| Opponent | Canas | Ritschard |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ofner | L 67 46 | L 46 46 |
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | L 61 67 46 | W 26 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sander Jong
M25 Zaragoza · Semifinals
Oct 3
Pedro Vives Marcos
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bruno Pujol Navarro
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
David Naharro
M25 Zaragoza · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Biella Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Jay Clarke
Biella Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Oriol Roca Batalla
Biella Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Pavel Lagutin
Biella Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Ryan Nijboer
M25 Zaragoza · Semifinals
Oct 3
Miguel Damas
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Samuel Arauzo Martinez
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Samuel Arauzo Martinez
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Iannis Miletich
M25 Zaragoza · 1st Round
Sep 29
Sebastian Ofner
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Roberto Carballes Baena
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Seville Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–77 matches
| Metric | Canas | Ritschard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 80% |
| Sets won | 54% | 69% |
| Games won | 51% | 58% |