Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elena Gabriela RusePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAjla Tomljanovic
#103 ยท 33 yrs ยท Right-Handed
9w33 meetings ยท sets 4โ2

๐ท๐ดElena Gabriela Ruse
#63 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Elena Gabriela Ruse have met 3 times since 2024; Ajla Tomljanovic leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Hong Kong 125 Open - Hong Kong in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Tomljanovic leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 4 sets to Ruse's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ajla Tomljanovic won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Gabriela Ruse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Elena Gabriela Ruse | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 77% | 17/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 2, Gabriela Ruse 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Ruse
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ajla Tomljanovic and Elena Gabriela Ruse are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 21, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3, 2024
Hong Kong 125 Open - Hong Kong
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomljanovic | Ruse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ajla Tomljanovic | Elena Gabriela Ruse | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ3 | 6โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | +16.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | +1.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Tomljanovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Ruse's 25%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 64 | L 57 36 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 64 16 67 | L 46 46 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 46 64 75 | W 46 64 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | L 64 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท 2nd Round
Jun 12
Magda Linette
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Peyton Stearns
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Kaitlin Quevedo
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Caty Mcnally
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Karolina Muchova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anna Kalinskaya
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 37โ41 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 56% |
| Sets won | 54% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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