Ajla Tomljanovic vs Caty McnallyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊAjla Tomljanovic
#103 Β· 33 yrs Β· Right-Handed
9w33 meetings Β· sets 4β4

πΊπΈCaty Mcnally
#64 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Caty Mcnally have met 3 times since 2025; Caty Mcnally leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 4 sets to Mcnally's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ajla Tomljanovic won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Mcnally | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Caty Mcnally | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 50% | 25/50 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 78% | 21/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 52% | 14/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 1, Mcnally 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
π₯ Big Hitter
Mcnally
πΉ Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs πΉ Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 13, 2026
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
May 24, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Oct 23, 2025
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomljanovic | Mcnally | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ajla Tomljanovic | Caty Mcnally | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 78% | 14/18 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β3 | 10β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | +2.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | +0.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 2 |
| Events | β | 2 |
| Matches | β | 5 |
| Distance | β | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | β | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Tomljanovic and Mcnally posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | L 16 26 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | W 75 63 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 63 61 | W 64 16 60 |
| Xin Yu Wang | W 63 61 | W 64 16 60 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 46 76 61 | W 75 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· 2nd Round
Jun 12
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Linda Noskova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tatjana Maria
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Kristina Liutova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 37β50 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 52% |
| Sets won | 54% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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