Ajla Tomljanovic vs Caty McnallyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊAjla Tomljanovic
#108 Β· 33 yrs Β· Right-Handed
15w33 meetings Β· sets 4β4

πΊπΈCaty Mcnally
#70 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Caty Mcnally have met 3 times since 2025; Caty Mcnally leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 4 sets to Mcnally's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ajla Tomljanovic won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Mcnally | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Caty Mcnally | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 61% | 11/18 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 16/38 | 46% | 25/54 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 86% | 12/14 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 81% | 25/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 55% | 17/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 1, Mcnally 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
π₯ Big Hitter
Mcnally
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ajla Tomljanovic.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 13, 2026
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
May 24, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Oct 23, 2025
Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8β5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.87 |
| ROI % | - | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 2 |
| Events | β | 2 |
| Matches | β | 3 |
| Distance | β | 654 mi Β· 1,053 km |
| Route | β | ROU β CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tomljanovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Mcnally's 67%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Dayana Yastremska | W 46 64 75 | L 36 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | L 16 26 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | W 75 63 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 63 61 | W 64 16 60 |
| Xin Yu Wang | W 63 61 | W 64 16 60 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 46 76 61 | W 75 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· Semifinals
Jun 13
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yue Yuan
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Dayana Yastremska
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anouk Koevermans
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 38β54 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 56% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.