Ajla Tomljanovic vs Anastasija SevastovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#103 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
9w34 meetings · sets 4–6
🇱🇻Anastasija Sevastova
#589 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
37wAjla Tomljanovic and Anastasija Sevastova have met 4 times since 2018; Anastasija Sevastova leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Mallorca in 2018 on grass. On grass courts Sevastova leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 4 sets to Sevastova's 6. Their most recent meeting: Anastasija Sevastova won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Sevastova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Anastasija Sevastova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 33% | 1/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 1, Sevastova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Sevastova
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ajla Tomljanovic.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 21, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 20, 2019
Mallorca
G Grass · Round of 16
Jun 22, 2018
Mallorca
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Sevastova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | - |
| ROI % | +22.2% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sevastova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tomljanovic's 0%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Sevastova |
|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 75 16 | L 16 36 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 36 36 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Open BLS de Limoges - Limoges · 2nd Round
Dec 11
Aliona Falei
W75 Trnava 4 · Quarterfinals
Nov 28
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava 4 · 2nd Round
Nov 27
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava · Round of 16
Nov 27
Ayla Aksu
W75 Trnava 4 · 1st Round
Nov 26
Maya Joint
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · 1st Round
Oct 28
Jasmine Paolini
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–37 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Sevastova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 50% |
| Sets won | 54% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Sevastova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Sevastova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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