Aidan Mayo vs Nicolas MejiaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAidan Mayo
#341 Β· 23 yrs Β· R
4 meetings Β· sets 6β3

π¨π΄Nicolas Mejia
#119 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
4Aidan Mayo and Nicolas Mejia have met 4 times since 2022; Aidan Mayo leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Granby Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Mayo leads 3β1. Across all meetings Mayo has taken 6 sets to Mejia's 3. Their most recent meeting: Aidan Mayo won at Chicago (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mayo | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aidan Mayo | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 20/27 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 13/21 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 20/48 | 33% | 21/63 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 9/23 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 10/26 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 62% | 21/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mayo 2, Mejia 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mayo
π₯ Big Hitter
Mejia
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aidan Mayo and Nicolas Mejia are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 22, 2024
Chicago
H Hard Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 9, 2024
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jul 8, 2024
Winnipeg
H Hard Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26, 2022
Granby Challenger
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mayo | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aidan Mayo | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14β9 | 6β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | -0.4% | +30.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.10u | +4.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi Β· 3,891 km | 5,846 mi Β· 9,409 km |
| Route | USA | FRA β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Mejia has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Mayo's 33%).
| Opponent | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Martin | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| James Duckworth | L 64 36 46 | W 76 62 |
| Daniil Glinka | L 67 62 67 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Colton Smith
Columbus Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Oct 1
Nikita Filin
Columbus Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Sebastian Gorzny
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Jordan Lee
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 15
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· Final
Aug 30
Luis Felipe Miguel
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· Semifinals
Aug 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Michael Zheng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Ugo Blanchet
St. Tropez Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Tallon Griekspoor
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 Β· Rubber 2
Sep 18
Liam Draxl
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 48β66 matches
| Metric | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 59% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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