Aidan Mayo vs Nicolas MejiaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aidan Mayo and Nicolas Mejia have met 4 times since 2022; Aidan Mayo leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Granby Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Mayo leads 3–1. Across all meetings Mayo has taken 6 sets to Mejia's 3. Their most recent meeting: Aidan Mayo won at Chicago (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mayo | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aidan Mayo | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 11/15 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 10/15 | 14% | 4/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 14/30 | 30% | 20/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 4/10 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 9/14 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 8/19 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 12/13 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mayo 2, Mejia 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mayo
💥 Big Hitter
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aidan Mayo and Nicolas Mejia are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 22, 2024
Chicago
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 9, 2024
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 8, 2024
Winnipeg
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26, 2022
Granby Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mayo | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aidan Mayo | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -57.7% | +36.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.19u | +6.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,777 mi · 2,860 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | USA → JAM | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mejia has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Mayo's 50%).
| Opponent | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Martin | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| James Duckworth | L 64 36 46 | W 76 62 |
| Daniil Glinka | L 67 62 67 | L 36 36 |
| Alexander Cozbinov | W 62 62 | W 63 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · Final
Aug 30
Luis Felipe Miguel
Kingston 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 29
Andres Martin
Kingston 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Benjamin Willwerth
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Matthew Forbes
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Stefan Kozlov
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Rei Sakamoto
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
James Duckworth
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Landaluce
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–70 matches
| Metric | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 59% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mayo | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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