Adrian Mannarino vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Novak Djokovic have met 5 times since 2016; Novak Djokovic leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2016 on grass. On grass courts Djokovic leads 3–0. On hard courts Djokovic leads 2–0. Djokovic has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 1 sets to Djokovic's 13. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Djokovic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 21, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 8, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 17, 2018
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jul 10, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Jun 30, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mannarino's 22%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | W 75 64 16 76 |
| Yibing Wu | L 64 67 57 | W 64 57 64 64 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 76 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | W 63 75 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 76 61 | W 63 62 62 |
| Marin Cilic | L 36 26 | W 76 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 36 | W 46 63 75 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 36 26 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 74% |
| Sets won | 37% | 65% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 3 |
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