Adrian Mannarino vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Novak Djokovic have met 5 times since 2016; Novak Djokovic leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2016 on grass. On grass courts Djokovic leads 3–0. On hard courts Djokovic leads 2–0. Djokovic has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 1 sets to Djokovic's 13. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Djokovic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 21, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 8, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 17, 2018
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jul 10, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Jun 30, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 6 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Mannarino's 50%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | W |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 63 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 76 61 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 46 36 63 63 63 | L 62 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | W 75 64 16 76 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 76 61 | W 63 62 62 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 36 26 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 71% |
| Sets won | 38% | 63% |
| Games won | 46% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 3 |
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