Adrian Mannarino vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Marin Cilic have met 4 times since 2015; Marin Cilic leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at London / Queen's Club in 2015 on grass. On grass courts Cilic leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Cilic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Cilic's 8. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Cilic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 5, 2026
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 2, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Oct 7, 2017
Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 9, 2015
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Mannarino's 33%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | L 16 46 | W 67 64 75 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | W 76 61 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 75 76 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 36 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | L 57 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | L 26 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | W 46 63 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | L 67 36 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 48% |
| Sets won | 37% | 48% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.