Adrian Mannarino vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAdrian Mannarino
#83 ยท 38 yrs ยท L
44 meetings ยท sets 3โ8

๐ญ๐ทMarin Cilic
#80 ยท 38 yrs ยท R
4Adrian Mannarino and Marin Cilic have met 4 times since 2015; Marin Cilic leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at London / Queen's Club in 2015 on grass. On grass courts Cilic leads 2โ0. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Cilic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Cilic's 8. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Cilic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Cilic
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 5, 2026
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jul 2, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Round of 128
Oct 7, 2017
Tokyo
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Jun 9, 2015
London / Queen's Club
G Grass ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ9 | 1โ3 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 10 | 1 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi ยท 11,168 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | FRA โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mannarino's 20%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | L 67 46 | L 67 16 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 76 36 26 | W 67 64 75 |
| Daniel Merida | L 64 26 26 | L 63 16 16 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | W 76 61 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 75 76 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 36 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | L 57 36 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | W 46 63 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | L 67 36 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 40โ54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 50% |
| Sets won | 38% | 50% |
| Games won | 46% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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