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Head-to-Head

Adrian Mannarino vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Adrian Mannarino and Marin Cilic have met 4 times since 2015; Marin Cilic leads 3โ€“1. Their first meeting came at London / Queen's Club in 2015 on grass. On grass courts Cilic leads 2โ€“0. On hard courts they are level 1โ€“1. Cilic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Cilic's 8. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months

IndicatorMannarinoCilic
Wins in straight sets50%72%
Wins a set when losing27%29%
Goes to a deciding set35%29%
Covers โˆ’1.5 sets as favorite43%65%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog47%50%
Tiebreak sets won50%39%
Wins after taking set 181%82%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 156%76%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Cilic 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Mannarino

๐Ÿ’ฅ Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Cilic

๐Ÿค– Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

๐Ÿ’ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐Ÿค– Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Jan 5, 2026

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong

H Hard ยท 1st Round

36
26
Cilic

Jul 2, 2019

Wimbledon

G Grass ยท Round of 128

6678
6477
36
Cilic

Oct 7, 2017

Tokyo

H Hard ยท Semifinals

6577
64
60
Mannarino

Jun 9, 2015

London / Queen's Club

G Grass ยท Round of 32

6377
63
26
Cilic

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days

OutcomeMannarinoCilic
1 or more100%100%
3 or more71%75%
5 or more47%75%
10 or more6%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days

MetricMannarinoCilic
W-L7โ€“91โ€“3
Avg odds2.712.27
ROI %+20.8%-56.3%
Units P/L+3.32u-2.25u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMannarinoCilic
Countries21
Events41
Matches101
Distance6,939 mi ยท 11,168 km0 mi ยท 0 km
RouteFRA โ†’ CHNCHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months

Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mannarino's 20%).

OpponentMannarinoCilic
Arthur Fery
L
67
46
L
67
16
Denis Shapovalov
L
76
36
26
W
67
64
75
Daniel Merida
L
64
26
26
L
63
16
16
Sho Shimabukuro
L
36
46
W
76
61
Learner Tien
W
75
64
W
75
76
Nuno Borges
L
26
26
W
36
76
63
Ugo Humbert
L
36
46
36
L
57
36
Zizou Bergs
L
46
36
W
46
63
64
Felix Auger-Aliassime
L
36
67
L
67
36
Adam Walton
W
64
62
W
64
61

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Mannarino
LWWLWLWW
L

Karen Khachanov

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round

26
46

Oct 11

W

Flavio Cobolli

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round

61
46
63

Oct 9

W

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round

Oct 7

L

Pablo Carreno Busta

China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying

36
46

Sep 29

W

Miomir Kecmanovic

China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying

766
36
765

Sep 28

L

Denis Shapovalov

Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals

766
36
26

Sep 27

W

Alejandro Tabilo

Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round

64
64

Sep 25

W

Juncheng Shang

Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round

769
62

Sep 24

Cilic
LLLLWLLL
L

Arthur Fery

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round

627
16

Oct 7

L

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round

63
16
16

Aug 15

L

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round

63
16
16

Aug 14

L

Frances Tiafoe

National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round

75
26
26

Aug 5

W

Sho Shimabukuro

National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round

762
61

Aug 4

L

Daniil Medvedev

Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round

16
26
46

Jun 29

L

Ugo Humbert

HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round

57
36

Jun 16

L

Daniil Medvedev

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Quarterfinals

26
63
16

Jun 13

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

โ†‘ MannarinoCilic aheadโ†“ Cilic

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 40โ€“54 matches

MetricMannarinoCilic
Matches won37%50%
Sets won38%50%
Games won46%50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMannarinoCilic
Grand Slam01
ATP 50011
ATP 25001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMannarinoCilic
Hard11
Grass02

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Adrian Mannarino vs Marin Cilic FAQ

Marin Cilic leads the head-to-head 3โ€“1 over 4 meetings.