Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Lorenzo Sonego have met 6 times since 2018; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Mannarino leads 3–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 9 sets to Sonego's 8. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Sonego 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 26, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 3, 2024
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 31, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 20, 2019
Antalya
G Grass · Quarterfinals
May 5, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -2.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sonego has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Mannarino's 20%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | L 67 67 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 64 36 75 | W 76 46 76 67 62 |
| Arthur Fery | L 67 46 | W 64 62 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 57 36 |
| Tommy Paul | L 26 62 46 | L 36 26 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | L 76 06 36 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 46 26 | L 36 36 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 76 61 | W 62 26 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 36 | L 36 36 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 36 26 | L 62 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 47% |
| Sets won | 37% | 46% |
| Games won | 47% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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