Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Lorenzo Sonego have met 6 times since 2018; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Mannarino leads 3–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 9 sets to Sonego's 8. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Sonego 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 26, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 3, 2024
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 31, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 20, 2019
Antalya
G Grass · Quarterfinals
May 5, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -42.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -5.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 4 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mannarino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sonego's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 63 | W 26 63 75 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | L 46 46 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 76 36 76 | L 62 67 46 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 76 62 | W 63 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | L 67 67 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 64 36 75 | W 76 46 76 67 62 |
| Arthur Fery | L 67 46 | W 64 62 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 57 36 |
| Tommy Paul | L 26 62 46 | L 36 26 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | L 76 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 44% |
| Sets won | 38% | 46% |
| Games won | 46% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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