Adrian Mannarino vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Karen Khachanov have met 5 times since 2015; Karen Khachanov leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Mouilleron Le Captif in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Khachanov leads 4–1. Khachanov has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Khachanov leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Khachanov's 10. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 15% | 4/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 18% | 3/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 36% | 5/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Khachanov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 27, 2021
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 21, 2018
Moscow
H Hard · Final
Sep 29, 2016
Chengdu
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 13, 2015
Mouilleron Le Captif
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -59.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -4.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Khachanov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | W 46 64 63 57 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 26 26 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 36 26 | W 63 64 64 |
| Billy Harris | L 46 76 46 | W 63 57 63 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | L 46 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | L 57 26 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 16 | L 57 75 26 76 26 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | L 36 63 67 |
| Arthur Gea | W 57 64 64 | W 63 76 60 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 44% |
| Sets won | 37% | 49% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
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