Adrian Mannarino vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Karen Khachanov have met 6 times since 2015; Karen Khachanov leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Mouilleron Le Captif in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Khachanov leads 5–1. Khachanov has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Khachanov leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Khachanov's 12. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 21% | 6/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Khachanov 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 11, 2026
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 27, 2021
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 21, 2018
Moscow
H Hard · Final
Sep 29, 2016
Chengdu
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 13, 2015
Mouilleron Le Captif
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | +12.5% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | +1.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 5 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Khachanov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 63 | L 60 67 76 26 26 |
| Arthur Fery | L 67 46 | W 76 67 76 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | W 63 63 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 75 46 67 61 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | W 46 64 63 57 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 26 26 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 36 26 | W 63 64 64 |
| Billy Harris | L 46 76 46 | W 63 57 63 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | L 46 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 53% |
| Sets won | 38% | 54% |
| Games won | 46% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 5 |
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