Adrian Mannarino vs Jacob FearnleyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Jacob Fearnley have met 2 times since 2024; Jacob Fearnley leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Rennes Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Fearnley leads 2–0. Fearnley has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 0 sets to Fearnley's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 46% | 23/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 20/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 80% | 16/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Fearnley 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Fearnley
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🎾 All-Court across 222 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 13, 2024
Rennes Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Fearnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Jacob Fearnley | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 96% | 24/25 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 72% | 18/25 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 48% | 12/25 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 4% | 1/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 18–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | +2.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 145 mi · 233 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | L 36 63 67 | W 62 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | L 36 63 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | L 67 36 |
| Remy Bertola | W 62 61 | W 64 64 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | W 57 76 64 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 62 64 61 | L 26 76 26 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | L 16 67 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 46 06 | W 63 63 |
| Arthur Cazaux | L 36 67 | L 26 63 16 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 36 26 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Alexis Galarneau
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 57% |
| Sets won | 37% | 53% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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