Adrian Mannarino vs Ilya IvashkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Ilya Ivashka have met 3 times since 2019; Ilya Ivashka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Ivashka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Ivashka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ilya Ivashka won at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Ivashka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Ivashka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 24, 2023
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 13, 2020
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 29, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -30.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -2.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ergi Kirkin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Chris Rodesch
Pozoblanco Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aziz Ouakaa
Pozoblanco Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Iliyan Radulov
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 61% |
| Sets won | 37% | 58% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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