Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur RinderknechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAdrian Mannarino
#83 ยท 38 yrs ยท L
44 meetings ยท sets 7โ3

๐ซ๐ทArthur Rinderknech
#33 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
3wAdrian Mannarino and Arthur Rinderknech have met 4 times since 2022; Adrian Mannarino leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Montreal in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Mannarino leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 7 sets to Rinderknech's 3. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 50% | 18/36 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 2, Rinderknech 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Rinderknech
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 11, 2026
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Aug 7, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Sep 28, 2023
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 9, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 33% | 3/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ9 | 4โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -42.5% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -4.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 4 | โ |
| Matches | 10 | โ |
| Distance | 6,939 mi ยท 11,168 km | โ |
| Route | FRA โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rinderknech has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mannarino's 50%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | L 26 46 | W 75 62 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 63 | W 67 76 75 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | W 75 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 76 36 76 | W 67 64 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | L 64 67 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 16 16 | L 75 46 26 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 46 36 63 63 63 | W 64 61 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | W 67 62 76 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | W 63 63 |
| Martin Damm | W 16 63 64 | W 64 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 45โ54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 42% |
| Sets won | 38% | 47% |
| Games won | 46% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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