Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 1 time since 2026; Adolfo Daniel Vallejo leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo won at Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Daniel Vallejo | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 41/61 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 29/84 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 14/30 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 20/26 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 52/57 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 41/57 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vallejo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 24, 2026
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vallejo | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vallejo | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–10 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | +9.7% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.84u | -1.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vallejo | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Vallejo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Busta's 50%).
| Opponent | Vallejo | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 62 16 61 | W 46 76 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 61 | L 61 57 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 16 16 | L 16 67 64 26 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 61 | L 36 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 61 63 | L 63 36 61 36 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 26 06 | W 63 62 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 36 103 | W 64 63 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 64 62 | W 76 75 36 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 26 63 26 | W 46 63 76 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 64 64 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Valentin Royer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Rafael Jodar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jaime Faria
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Taro Daniel
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–87 matches
| Metric | Vallejo | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 62% |
| Sets won | 64% | 58% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vallejo | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vallejo | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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