Adam Walton vs Alexis GalarneauPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Alexis Galarneau have met 4 times since 2023; Adam Walton leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Little Rock Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Walton leads 3–0. Walton has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Walton has taken 6 sets to Galarneau's 3. Their most recent meeting: Adam Walton won at Jiujiang Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Galarneau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Alexis Galarneau | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 29/43 | 60% | 24/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 41% | 13/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 25/76 | 40% | 29/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 20/39 | 43% | 17/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 15/32 | 68% | 21/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 16/37 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 39/47 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 29/47 | 67% | 24/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 2, Galarneau 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Galarneau
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 1, 2026
Jiujiang Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 19, 2024
Acapulco Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 2, 2024
Mexico City Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 2, 2023
Little Rock Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Galarneau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Alexis Galarneau | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 6–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -33.5% |
| Units P/L | -5.74u | -5.02u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Galarneau has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Walton's 30%).
| Opponent | Walton | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 76 67 36 | L 67 26 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 75 67 46 | L 26 36 |
| Dino Prizmic | L 64 67 46 26 | W 64 64 |
| Jaime Faria | L 64 46 67 | W 75 76 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 63 26 46 | L 67 67 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 46 26 | W 63 36 76 |
| Andre Ilagan | W 75 61 | W 63 62 |
| Liam Draxl | W 64 64 | L 63 16 67 |
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | W 64 64 | W 46 64 64 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 26 06 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Moise Kouame
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Hikaru Shiraishi
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Valentin Royer
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Elias Ymer
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Semen Pankin
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 72–81 matches
| Metric | Walton | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 56% |
| Sets won | 52% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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