Adam Walton vs Adrian MannarinoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAdam Walton
#98 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ2

๐ซ๐ทAdrian Mannarino
#83 ยท 38 yrs ยท L
4Adam Walton and Adrian Mannarino have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Acapulco in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Walton has taken 2 sets to Mannarino's 2. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Mannarino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Adrian Mannarino | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 29/42 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 27% | 8/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 24/75 | 35% | 17/48 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 15/32 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 15/35 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 38/46 | 81% | 13/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 29/46 | 56% | 9/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 1, Mannarino 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Mannarino
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Adam Walton and Adrian Mannarino are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 11, 2026
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Feb 22, 2025
Acapulco
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Mannarino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Adrian Mannarino | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ9 | 7โ9 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.71 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | +20.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.74u | +3.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 10 |
| Distance | 927 mi ยท 1,492 km | 6,939 mi ยท 11,168 km |
| Route | CHN | FRA โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Walton and Mannarino posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Walton | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | L 26 36 | L 26 46 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 26 75 62 | W 76 36 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 67 76 57 | W 64 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 26 75 36 | L 46 26 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 62 64 | L 36 63 16 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 75 67 46 | L 67 46 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 64 | L 46 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 67 | W 75 64 |
| Blaise Bicknell | W | W 67 62 62 |
| Arthur Gea | W 64 64 | W 57 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Moise Kouame
Jingshan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
Jingshan Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Hikaru Shiraishi
Jingshan Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Valentin Royer
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round
Sep 23
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ80 matches
| Metric | Walton | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 37% |
| Sets won | 52% | 38% |
| Games won | 52% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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