ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Sydney
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishioka
🎯 Baseliner
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,721 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Yoshihito Nishioka plays Andrey Rublev.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishioka | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -12.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
3
Nishioka
3
Rublev
Oct 4, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 31, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 30, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 6, 2022
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 1, 2021
ATP Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 9, 2019
Sydney
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Nishioka's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishioka | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Coleman Wong | L 26 26 | W 26 64 63 46 63 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 26 67 | L 67 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 36 | W 61 36 63 |
| Alexei Popyrin | L 57 46 21 | W 67 76 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nishioka | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.4% | 63.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 81.5% | 69.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 64.7% | 51.2% |
| Aces / Match | 15 | 6.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 100% | 59.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.4% | 30.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 58.3% | 51.9% |
| BP Converted % | 33.3% | 38.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 32 | 22.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 19 | 24.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 100% | 65.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 60.6% | 51% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Vit Kopriva
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Final
Apr 19
Hamad Medjedovic
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Semifinals
Apr 18
Tomas Machac
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Lorenzo Sonego
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Matchup overview
Yoshihito Nishioka and Andrey Rublev face off in the Round of 16 at Sydney on Hard.
Yoshihito Nishioka leads 3-3 over 6 previous meetings.
Yoshihito Nishioka is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Coleman Wong (Feb 14).
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Vit Kopriva (Apr 24).
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