Grand Slam · Round of 64 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🏹 Frontrunner
Nishikori
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 387 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Tommy Paul plays Kei Nishikori.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.57 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +3.1% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.49u | -1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Paul
1
Nishikori
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 60.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69% | 67.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50% | 52% |
| Aces / Match | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 3.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.7% | 64.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.8% | 35.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.5% | 53.9% |
| BP Converted % | 39.3% | 46.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.1 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.8 | 39.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.7% | 68.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 52% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 100% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Kei Nishikori face off in the Round of 64 at Australian Open on Hard.
Tommy Paul leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 29).
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
Share this match
