ATP 500 · Quarterfinals · Washington
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paul
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 387 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Kei Nishikori plays Tommy Paul.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.57 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | +3.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.20u | +0.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Nishikori
1
Paul
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nishikori | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.6% | 64.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.5% | 69% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52% | 50% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.5% | 46.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.1% | 32.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.9% | 51.5% |
| BP Converted % | 46.6% | 39.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19 | 24.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 39.3 | 33.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.2% | 75.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Kei Nishikori and Tommy Paul face off in the Quarterfinals at Washington on Hard.
Kei Nishikori leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 29).
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