Completed

ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Lexus Nottingham Challenger

Toby SamuelvsLiam Broady

January 7, 2026H Hard

Match Result

Final score & match stats

#144Toby Samuel[3/WC]

#209Liam Broady

SamuelBroady

1st Serve %68%71%

1st Serve Won55%63%

2nd Serve Won40%48%

Serve Pts Won50%58%

BP Saved7/126/8

Return Pts Won42%50%

Total Pts Won46%55%

Winners1219

Unforced Errors2624

Aces04

Double Faults10

Archetype Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Samuel

⚔️ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter

Broady

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,919 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Liam Broady here.

Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Samuel	Broady
W-L	6–7	14–6
Avg odds	2.35	1.74
ROI %	-14.4%	+2.5%
Units P/L	-1.87u	+0.50u

Head-to-Head

Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings

Samuel

Broady

Jan 7, 2026

Lexus Nottingham Challenger

H Hard · Round of 16

Samuel

Sep 15, 2025

M15 Hurghada

H Hard · Final

Samuel

Full head-to-head & rivalry stats

Common Opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Broady has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Samuel's 70%).

Opponent	Samuel	Broady
Raul Brancaccio	L 75 16 46	L 26 46
Daniel Merida	L 67 36	L 46 26
Martin Damm	W 76 62	W 67 61 76
Harry Wendelken	W 63 60	W 36 62 62
Robin Bertrand	W 64 75	W 63 62
Tomas Curras Abasolo	W 60 63	W 76 63
Georgii Kravchenko	W 63 75	W 61 61
Joao Domingues	W 62 62	W 63 64
Carl Emil Overbeck	W 62 64	W 60 64
Arthur Nagel	L 46 57	W 63 62

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Samuel	Broady
Serve
1st Serve In %	61.4%	65%
1st Serve Pts Won %	64.4%	68%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	51.2%	52.4%
Aces / Match	4.1	2.6
Double Faults / Match	2.1	1.9
Break Points Saved %	56.4%	58%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	29.2%	37%
2nd Return Pts Won %	46.1%	55.1%
BP Converted %	49.1%	45.8%
Rally
Winners / Match	23.5	18.2
Unforced Errors / Match	36.5	28
Net Pts Won %	38.1%	56.6%
Total Pts Won %	47.8%	52.8%
Surface (Hard)
Hard Win %	0%	75%

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Samuel

LWLWL

Matteo Arnaldi

Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying

Jun 21

Quentin Halys

Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying

Jun 20

Arthur Fery

HSBC Championships · Round of 32

Jun 16

Kyrian Jacquet

Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32

7¹²6¹⁰

Jun 10

Alex de Minaur

Roland Garros · Round of 128

May 25

Broady

LLWLW

Zachary Svajda

HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying

Jun 13

Raul Brancaccio

SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 16

Jun 10

Ioannis Xilas

SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 32

Jun 8

Daniel Merida

Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 16

Jun 3

David Jorda Sanchis

Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32

Jun 2