ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tirante
🎯 Baseliner
Paul
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,447 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Thiago Agustin Tirante here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tirante | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +6.8% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.75u | +0.20u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
0
Tirante
1
Paul
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tirante | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/18 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Tirante's 40%).
| Opponent | Tirante | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 62 64 | W 61 64 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 16 16 | W 61 36 75 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 26 | W 36 64 64 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 75 62 62 | W 63 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 46 | L 67 76 36 76 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tirante | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.1% | 69.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.9% | 50.6% |
| Aces / Match | 5.8 | 6.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.3% | 47.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 26.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.4% | 46.7% |
| BP Converted % | 45.1% | 41.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.6 | 22.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.8 | 29.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.9% | 65.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.1% | 48.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 63% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Roberto Bautista Agut
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 22
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Semifinals
Apr 4
Ben Shelton
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Quarterfinals
Apr 3
Mackenzie McDonald
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 1
Colton Smith
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 32
Mar 30
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Final
Apr 5
Frances Tiafoe
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Semifinals
Apr 4
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Quarterfinals
Apr 3
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 16
Mar 24
Matchup overview
Thiago Agustin Tirante and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Thiago Agustin Tirante leads 0-1 over 1 previous meeting.
Thiago Agustin Tirante is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Roberto Bautista Agut (Apr 22).
Tommy Paul is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (Apr 5).
Model consensus currently favors Tommy Paul with 66.3% confidence.
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