WTA 1000 · Round of 128 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maria
🤖 Servebot
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 53% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,071 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jasmine Paolini here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the servebot's high ace rate. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maria | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–12 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.13 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -10.4% | -28.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.50u | -2.80u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Maria
2
Paolini
Mar 6, 2024
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 6, 2023
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Maria and Paolini posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Maria | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Marie Bouzkova | L | W 62 75 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W | W |
| Elena Rybakina | L | L 36 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | W | L 46 26 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W | L 64 46 46 |
| Elise Mertens | L | L 64 67 36 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 26 | L 57 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 57 76 67 | W 36 62 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 62 | L 26 26 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 46 57 | W 63 16 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Maria | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 57.9% | 63.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.6% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 44% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.7 | 1.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.9% | 52.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.8% | 37.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 59% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 47.7% | 28.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.8% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Tatjana Maria and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Round of 128 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Tatjana Maria leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Tatjana Maria is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Marie Bouzkova (Jun 19).
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
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