ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Santiago
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Daniel
💥 Big Hitter
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,062 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Taro Daniel here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Daniel | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–7 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | +33.8% | -24.5% |
| Units P/L | +8.45u | -3.92u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Daniel
2
Garin
Apr 28, 2025
Mauthausen
C Clay · Round of 32
May 14, 2019
Geneva
C Clay · Round of 16
May 14, 2018
Lisbon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 8, 2017
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Daniel and Garin posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Daniel | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Timofey Skatov | W 63 63 | W 61 62 |
| Michael Mmoh | L 64 46 36 | L 63 36 57 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 46 64 46 | L 36 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Daniel | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 59.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.1% | 71.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.3% | 49.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.4% | 33.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.7% | 50.6% |
| BP Converted % | 39% | 44.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.4 | 22.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27 | 33.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73.1% | 76.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 50.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 82% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras Open 4 · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Matchup overview
Taro Daniel and Cristian Garin face off in the Round of 16 at Santiago on Clay.
Taro Daniel leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Taro Daniel is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Federico Cina (Jun 13).
Cristian Garin is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Learner Tien (May 26).
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