Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
🎯 Baseliner
Mochizuki
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,829 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Stefanos Tsitsipas here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -32.6% | -22.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | -1.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Tsitsipas
0
Mochizuki
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Dec 31, 2023
United Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mochizuki's 0%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 76 | L 16 67 |
| Casper Ruud | L 76 67 67 | L 64 16 16 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 76 | L 26 46 26 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 76 36 46 | L 46 75 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tsitsipas | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.9% | 59.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.1% | 65.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.5% | 47.9% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66.4% | 28.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.2% | 30.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 52.6% |
| BP Converted % | 34.3% | 57.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.8 | 23.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.5 | 30 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79% | 78.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.5% | 49.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Round of 32
Jun 12
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Alexandre Muller
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Learner Tien
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Remy Bertola
Lexus Nottingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Michael Zheng
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Sander Jong
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Sho Shimabukuro
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Matchup overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Shintaro Mochizuki face off in the Round of 128 at Australian Open on Hard.
Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ignacio Buse (Jun 12).
Shintaro Mochizuki is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Remy Bertola (Jun 18).
Share this match
