ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Barcelona
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
💥 Big Hitter
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Stefanos Tsitsipas and Denis Shapovalov are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 5,834 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -32.6% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
2
Tsitsipas
5
Shapovalov
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Mar 22, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Apr 20, 2023
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 16
Jan 7, 2020
ATP Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 17, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 6, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Jan 5, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Tsitsipas's 11%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 76 | L 46 16 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 67 | L 67 57 |
| Casper Ruud | L 76 67 67 | L 36 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 63 67 46 | W 76 62 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 67 | L 57 36 |
| Yunchaokete Bu | L 36 26 | W 63 76 61 |
| Valentin Royer | L 36 26 | W 76 62 |
| Christopher O'Connell | L 46 64 26 | W 63 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 67 61 64 36 57 | L 57 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tsitsipas | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.9% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.1% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.5% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 5.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66.4% | 51.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.2% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 44.7% |
| BP Converted % | 34.3% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 27 | 15.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.6 | 26.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 81.3% | 52.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.5% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 45% | 29% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Alexandre Muller
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Learner Tien
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Tomas Machac
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Matchup overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 16 at Barcelona on Clay.
Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 2-5 over 7 previous meetings.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Arnaldi (May 27).
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
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