ATP 500 · Semifinals · Astana
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
💥 Big Hitter
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 8,503 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Stefanos Tsitsipas plays Andrey Rublev.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -32.6% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | -1.33u |
Prior meetings and scores · 13 career meetings
6
Tsitsipas
7
Rublev
Feb 19, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 18, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 8, 2022
Astana
H Hard · Semifinals
May 6, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 15, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 12, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Finals
Mar 1, 2021
Rotterdam
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 6, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 27, 2020
Hamburg
C Clay · Finals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Tsitsipas's 11%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 67 75 36 26 | W 64 62 63 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 67 | W 64 64 |
| Tomas Machac | L 46 67 | W 64 63 |
| Arthur Fils | L 06 16 | L 26 67 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 63 67 46 | W 62 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 57 46 | L 36 67 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 75 63 | W 62 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 57 | W 64 67 63 |
| Valentin Royer | L 36 26 | W 63 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tsitsipas | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.9% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.1% | 70.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.5% | 53.7% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66.4% | 58.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.2% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 53.1% |
| BP Converted % | 34.3% | 41.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 27 | 20.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.6 | 24.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 81.3% | 61.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.5% | 52.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Alexandre Muller
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Learner Tien
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Tomas Machac
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Matchup overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Andrey Rublev face off in the Semifinals at Astana on Hard.
Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 6-7 over 13 previous meetings.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Arnaldi (May 27).
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
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